Lee Canyon snow forecast

Nevada · middle of the mountain, 9,015 ft · updated Fri, Nov 13, 9:50 AM PST

About 0.9 in of new snow is forecast at Lee Canyon over the next three days at 9,015 ft, most of it Friday into Saturday. The snow level is forecast to get down to about 7,100 ft, below the base, so snow should reach the bottom of the mountain.

Next 3 days

  1. Fri 4 AM to Sat 4 AM

    Nov 13 to Nov 14, PST

    0.8 in

    new snow

    Snow level 7,100 ft to 8,400 ft

  2. Sat 4 AM to Sun 4 AM

    Nov 14 to Nov 15, PST

    0 in

    new snow

    Snow level not available

  3. Sun 4 AM to Mon 4 AM

    Nov 15 to Nov 16, PST

    0 in

    new snow

    Snow level not available

About 0.9 in in all over the three days.

See the snow on the mountain

The next three days on the real terrain around Lee Canyon. Colours show the forecast new snow at each height and the white line is the snow level. Press Play to run the three days, drag to turn the mountain, or point at a slope to read it.

New snow0.1 · 1 · 3 · 6 · 12 · 24 · 36 inSnow levelFreezing levelEasierMore difficultMost difficultLift

The colours come from the base, middle and summit forecasts above and change with height only; wind and the way a slope faces are not part of it. Heights are stretched 1.5 times so the slopes read clearly. This is a forecast, not a measurement.

4070 Pro shows this view for days 4 to 16 and for each weather model, at every resort and pass. Start your 7-day free trial

Snow by model, next 3 days

Each thin line is one run of a weather model; the bold line is the middle of all of them. When the lines fan out, the models disagree and the forecast is less certain. Pick a model to see it on its own.

Short rangeabout 2 days
High-resolution
Long range15 to 16 days
Ensembles
Single models
AI single models
Fri 13Sat 14Sun 15Mon01234in
GEFS Nov 13 06Z (31 members)ECMWF EPS Nov 13 00Z (50 members)HRRR Nov 13 15Z (7 runs)AIFS Ensemble Nov 13 00Z (50 members)GFS Nov 13 12Z (4 runs)ECMWF Nov 13 00Z (3 runs)ECMWF AIFS Nov 13 06Z (4 runs)AI-GFS (experimental) Nov 13 06Z (4 runs)RRFS Nov 13 12Z (3 runs)All-models medianmeanColoured lines: each model’s medianTimes are local to Lee Canyon: Pacific Time (PST).

At Sun, Nov 15, 4 AM

Click the chart to hold a time
ModelLast step medianTotal minTotal maxTotal medianTotal mean
All models9 models, equal weight0.00 in1 h0.00 in6.78 in0.87 in1.27 in
GEFS31 members0.00 in3 h0.02 in0.99 in0.28 in0.32 in
ECMWF EPS50 members0.00 in6 h0.44 in4.57 in1.96 in1.92 in
HRRR1 run0.00 in3 h0.45 in4.48 in1.23 in2.01 in
AIFS Ensemble50 members0.00 in6 h0.00 in1.67 in0.11 in0.20 in
GFS4 runs0.00 in3 h0.97 in1.55 in1.21 in1.24 in
ECMWF3 runs0.00 in6 h2.00 in4.02 in2.03 in2.68 in
ECMWF AIFS4 runs0.00 in6 h0.76 in1.06 in0.80 in0.86 in
AI-GFS (experimental)4 runs0.00 in6 h0.45 in1.19 in0.91 in0.87 in
RRFS3 runs0.00 in1 h0.58 in1.89 in1.84 in1.44 in
Notes

GEFS 0.5°, 31 members (control + 30 perturbations). Run 20261113T06Z. ECMWF EPS (ENS) 0.25°, 50 perturbed members · CC BY 4.0. Run 20261113T00Z. HRRR 3 km, the 7 most recent hourly runs overlaid as members. Successive runs of one model, not perturbations; runs past their own horizon drop out. Snow is HRRR's own accumulated depth. Run 20261113T15Z. ECMWF AIFS ensemble 0.25°, 50 perturbed members of the AI forecast model · CC BY 4.0. Run 20261113T00Z. GFS 0.25°, the 4 most recent runs (6-hourly cycles) overlaid as members. Successive runs of one model, not perturbations. Run 20261113T12Z. ECMWF IFS 0.25°, the 3 most recent runs (00/12Z cycles) overlaid as members. Successive runs of one model, not perturbations · CC BY 4.0. Run 20261113T00Z. ECMWF AIFS 0.25°, the 4 most recent runs (6-hourly cycles) of the single AI forecast overlaid as members. Successive runs of one model, not perturbations · CC BY 4.0. Run 20261113T06Z. NOAA experimental EAGLE 0.25°, a single AI model: its 4 most recent runs (6-hourly cycles) overlaid as members, not an ensemble. Not the operational NOAA AI-GFS. Publishes no snow field. Run 20261113T06Z. RRFS 3 km CONUS, the 3 most recent runs (6-hourly cycles) overlaid as members. Successive runs of one model, not perturbations. Snow is RRFS's own accumulated depth. Run 20261113T12Z. Snow is each model's precipitation and temperature adjusted to 9,015 ft. Read it as an estimate for that height. Totals count from Fri 12 PM, where the chart begins, so every model's total counts the same hours. The consensus lines pool every model with equal weight per model, so a 50-member ensemble does not outvote a 4-run set. A dash in the readouts means that model does not cover the hour under the cursor.

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Plan your trip: where it's snowing most

The most snow forecast over the next three days, out of 208 resorts:

  1. 1Mt. Shasta Ski Park, CA14 in
  2. 2Kirkwood, CA13 in
  3. 3Whistler Blackcomb, BC12 in
  4. 4Sugar Bowl, CA10 in
  5. 5Bear Valley, CA9.5 in

In Pro: every resort ranked by forecast snow for any day out to 16 days, by region, at the base, middle or summit.

The full Lee Canyon forecast

  • Days 4 through 16, for every model
  • Base and summit forecasts, not just the middle
  • Storm timing: when the snow starts, peaks and stops
  • Freezing level and snow level charts through each storm

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  • Model maps

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  • Snow charts for home

    The model-by-model snow chart above, for any place in the US, out to about two weeks.

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About Lee Canyon

Location
Nevada, Southwest
Base
8,660 ft
Middle (forecast height)
9,015 ft
Summit
9,370 ft
Vertical
710 ft

How this forecast is made

Lee Canyon runs from about 8,660 ft at the base to 9,370 ft at the summit. Rain at the base can be snow up top, so the forecast is made for a height: the middle of the mountain, about 9,015 ft. Each number is the middle value of 9 weather models after adjusting them for that height. It is a forecast, not a measurement, and it changes as new model runs arrive.

Lee Canyon snow forecast questions

How much snow is Lee Canyon forecast to get?

About 0.9 in of new snow is forecast at Lee Canyon over the next three days at 9,015 ft, most of it Friday into Saturday. The snow level is forecast to get down to about 7,100 ft, below the base, so snow should reach the bottom of the mountain. Days 4 through 16 for every model, and the base and summit forecasts, are in 4070 Pro.

What is the snow level at Lee Canyon?

The snow level is the lowest height where precipitation still falls mostly as snow. Forecast for Lee Canyon: Friday into Saturday: 7,100 ft to 8,400 ft. The base is at 8,660 ft and the summit at 9,370 ft.

How high is Lee Canyon?

Lee Canyon runs from about 8,660 ft at the base to 9,370 ft at the summit, about 710 ft of vertical. This page forecasts the middle of the mountain, about 9,015 ft.

How often is the Lee Canyon snow forecast updated?

Four times a day, as new runs of 9 weather models arrive. This forecast was updated Fri, Nov 13, 9:50 AM PST.

Why does a mountain snow forecast depend on height?

Air cools as it rises, so the same storm can bring rain at the base and deep snow at the summit, and mountains squeeze more precipitation out of the air higher up. Weather models see the mountain as a smoothed-out slope, so each model's snow is adjusted to the height being forecast, using adjustments checked against last winter's mountain snow measurements.

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